Why I’m not fazed by unremarkable results in therapy trials


Remember the old ‘pareto principle’? 80% of the results come from 20% of the input, or as Wikipedia informs me, “the principle of factor sparsity”

I think we’ve got there with musculoskeletal pain, especially low back pain.

The other ‘law’ that might apply is that of diminishing returns.

We’ve learned a great deal about low back pain over my clinical career. We’ve essentially learned what not do to. In the name of progress, thousands of people have put their pain (their bodies) on the line. And progress has not exactly been great right? We’ve learned that paracetamol (acetaminophen) does diddly squat for acute low back pain, and this doesn’t change as pain hangs around (Williams, et al., 2014). We’ve also found out that doing surgery for most back pain isn’t a great thing (except for radicular pain where surgery is better for leg pain than back pain itself) (Chou et al., 2009). We’ve found out that all forms of exercise are great – loads and loads of studies showing this – BUT effect sizes (in other words, how effective it is) are small to modest for both pain and disability. And the most recent study of cognitive functional therapy, while absolutely wonderful and pragmatic and all, is not much different from what has been advocated for at least 30 years while I’ve been in practice (Kent et al., 2023).

Now before Defenders of the Faith accuse me of complete nihilism when it comes to therapy for back pain, let’s do some deconstruction. CFT is an approach where well-trained physiotherapists learn how to carry out guided discovery and graded movements to help people with low back pain explore and gradually expand their movement repertoire. The training is a good 90 hours, apparently, and therapists say they come out of it with greater confidence to: listen, ask open-ended questions, probe for concerns, generate helpful interpretations, then begin to help the person test out movements they may have been less than enthusiastic to do for quite some time. The excellent things about this approach, and the research O’Sullivan and colleagues have done, is that they’ve replicated the ‘method’ (guided discovery, graded movement, really good listening) in different countries, with different researchers, different therapists (though mainly physiotherapists), and in people with different durations of pain.

The outcomes are pretty good. I like that participants were monitored for 52 weeks, so there’s hope the gains they made are durable. I like that they measured patient-specific function rather than ‘standardised’ outcomes. I like that psychosocial factors such as pain self-efficacy, and pain catastrophising and fear-avoidance beliefs were monitored and all show pleasing changes over time.

BUT let’s temper the enthusiasm with some realism, OK? And please, I’m agnostic about what is being done, I care about people. Here’s the thing – pain reduced by around 2 on a 0 – 10 NRS to a mean of 4/10; people felt they could do more by about 15 points on the RMDQ; pain catastrophising reduced by 4 points on the PCS. In other words, although these are statistically significant and better than ‘usual care’ (whatever that means), people with low back pain continue to have ongoing pain at 4/10 on this (stupid) numeric rating scale.

Cutting to the chase, good therapeutic relationship (the ingredients of which are built on empathic and reflective listening, collaboration, warmth, trustworthiness, a sense of competence – see Kinney et al., 2020 for a systematic review of therapeutic alliance in physiotherapists), and therapist confidence when helping someone do a hard thing is critical. Combine this with gentle graded movements to nudge into those areas of mistrust in the body and you have a winning combination. And guess what? It has been core within pain management programmes following a cognitive behavioural approach for most of my 30 years in practice.

The thing is, being confident when you know you are asking people to do the very things that are hard for them to do is not something we learn easily. Most clinicians don’t like seeing people distressed, tearful, angry, frustrated or scared. In a climate where pain has been seen as ‘the enemy’ and eliminating or reducing pain has been the focus, therapists have been just as worried about pain as the people they hope to help.

What do these small reductions in pain intensity and disability despite decades of research tell me?
I have a kind of optimistic view of it all. If the ‘what’ we do (ie movement forms) isn’t super crucial, but the ‘how’ we do it is, then shouldn’t we focus a whole lot more on two important legs of the infamous evidence-based healthcare triad? That is, if movement is a good thing, then that’s our ‘evidence from research’. The other two legs are – clinician’s experience and skills, and the person’s own values and preferences.

If we agree that movement is a good thing, and avoiding is not, then the form of movement a person does isn’t nearly as important as the clinician being able to convey that they are listening and care about the person and that they are safe.

And finally, the person can decide what kind of movement practice suits them! Finally we get to the person in the person-centred care model!

As a person who does not like boring, I demand variety in my movement repertoire. I want to be able to explore movements that interest me, that are demanding but not just focus on my body – I’m happy to push hard to do things that intrigue me, like climbing up a hill to take photographs from the tops, or to dance a complex set to music that sets my heart on fire, or to paddle serenely along the length of a lake with the still water like glass. I want to relish the strength of my body as I lift bags of compost and fertiliser and I rake leaves and dig weeds and prune my damned wisteria yet again.

Because, you see, humans don’t mind doing hard things if it’s worth it, and with the support of a caring person who shows that they’ll be there, waving the flag, as they go for it. And really, that’s what I hold onto when it comes to movement and pain. Be the trustworthy clinician. Be humble about the results. Don’t oversell and hype what isn’t terribly technical but IS hard to do.

If all we learn from the RESTORE trial is that when therapists get confident to listen well, and guide discovery in movement, people begin their own journey to wellbeing, then I’m perfectly happy. Let’s just not trademark this practice. It should be fundamental to practice.

ps for the avoidance of doubt, I’m NOT suggesting that CFT is being ‘trademarked’ – I’m warning against anyone who is thinking of branding or trademarking these strategies (it’s happened before with ways to use good communication in musculoskeletal pain).

Chou, Roger; Baisden, James; Carragee, Eugene J.; Resnick, Daniel K. ; Shaffer, William O.; Loeser, John D. . Surgery for Low Back Pain: A Review of the Evidence for an American Pain Society Clinical Practice Guideline. Spine 34(10):p 1094-1109, May 1, 2009. | DOI: 10.1097/BRS.0b013e3181a105fc

Kent, P., Haines, T., O’Sullivan, P., Smith, A., Campbell, A., Schutze, R., Attwell, S., Caneiro, J. P., Laird, R., O’Sullivan, K., McGregor, A., Hartvigsen, J., Lee, D. A., Vickery, A., Hancock, M., & team, R. t. (2023). Cognitive functional therapy with or without movement sensor biofeedback versus usual care for chronic, disabling low back pain (RESTORE): a randomised, controlled, three-arm, parallel group, phase 3, clinical trial. Lancet. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(23)00441-5

Kinney, M., Seider, J., Beaty, A. F., Coughlin, K., Dyal, M., & Clewley, D. (2020). The impact of therapeutic alliance in physical therapy for chronic musculoskeletal pain: A systematic review of the literature. Physiother Theory Pract, 36(8), 886-898. https://doi.org/10.1080/09593985.2018.1516015

Williams CM, Maher CG, Latimer J, et al. Efficacy of paracetamol for acute low-back pain: a double-blind, randomised controlled trial. Lancet 2014; 384: 1586–1596.

12 comments

    1. Thanks so much Morten! Wouldn’t it be awesome if guided discovery, open-ended questions, collaborating and experimenting with movement were all NORMAL practice?! I love CFT and yet I am bothered that it’s taking the enhanced confidence from therapists that possibly makes the package successful. It shouldn’t be this way!

      1. Agree and even if the results do not suggest a paradigm shift they seem to highlight that if we want to understand clinical practice better, we need to pay more attention to “contextual factors”, ie, the person with pain in their context, not just what the HCP does to/for them.

      2. You’re speaking my language Morten!
        ‘The social’ is something we don’t really understand or even examine – my interest is about how clinicians can learn to integrate this messy contextual stuff into the way they approach therapy. It’s not going to be a recipe, that’s for sure!

  1. Bronnie,Information as you put it forward is helpful..a large part I find my own assessment verified and I can refute a lot of what G.P.s try to put across. Please keep us up to date with your research!Generosity and encouragement. Reguards Philippa.

    Sent from Mail for Windows

  2. I attended a Peter O Sullivan CFT course several years ago and it transformed the way I work.
    I was taken with his ability to help patients with low back pain change, sometimes dramatically, their pain and suffering in such a short time.
    I now believe he would be called in the world of psychotherapy a “Supershrink”- therapists who have been found to get far superior results to others.
    What are they doing differently? They seek out regular feedback from the client and want to know about negative feedback so that they can make real time adjustments. They work hard on their practise, go a little bit extra with client, attend courses that help their performance and strikingly don’t know they are supershrinks.
    Scott D Miller, who has carried out a lot of work on the alliance, created the Feedback Informed Treatment ( FIT) form to help non supershrinks improve their outcomes.
    He says“The quality of the patient’s participation in therapy stands out as the most important determinant of outcome…[this] can be considered fact established by 40-plus years of research on psychotherapy.”
    As far as I know there is no research on this in MSK therapy, but I doubt we are any different to them.

    1. Graham, I agree. We see this particularly in physical therapy where it’s not uncommon for ‘supertherapists’ to emerge with fabulous results that don’t quite trickle down to the everyday clinician.
      There are some studies (I’m just looking into this atm, so not ready to share them!) but from social psychology we know that warmth (empathy), confidence and competence are quickly identified by humans, and these roughly translate into ‘trustworthiness’ – combine trustworthiness with guiding a person towards recognising their body sensations and using these to guide action and we have a winner!
      There’s no doubt in my mind that the active ingredients that make a real contribution to therapeutic change are the therapist’s stance, using experiential learning, and attributing change to what the person does rather than what the therapist does. Now let’s get that into our undergraduate training and we might create momentum that’s unstoppable!

  3. Using standardized outcome measurement tools will always skew individualized results as they aren’t contextual . VAS pain scores are a good example. Rating a pain out of 10 says nothing about the context. How often you get the pain, how long it stays at that rate, what that pain level means to you, are you coping with that pain, whether you have other pains or stressors grabbing your attention. etc. The PCS has similar flaws. You could ask the same questions daily and get different scores 3 days running based on mood, resilience, self efficacy, weather etc. Etc
    I have used similar techniques for many years as a physio and my observation is that allowing the client to explore their condition/beliefs/ current state and guiding them to find ways to regain meaningful function in a respectful and non judgemental way will always help. Standardizing a system of treatment and using standardized OMTs helps validate for research funding and results but often misses the ” truth” around the exciting challenge of dealing with individuals and their unique complexities.

    1. Preach it Lee!! Psychometric measures can be useful, but they’re only part of the picture and always need interpreting (I’ve taught this for much of my teaching career!), the trick is helping clinicians value ‘interpersonal’ and ‘person-centred’ in more than superficial ways… oh a funding 😉

  4. You read my mind Bronnie. I was thinking this week how researchers should be controlling for a therapist that offers an intervention alongside genuine care (compassion). I gather there are many research articles on the measureable benefits of compassion. I haven’t looked at them properly or to see if there are any related to pain, but I feel we really can’t overestimate the importance of offering a supportive presence.

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